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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and Manifold. The best Yes price right now is 76% on Polymarket, and the best No is 55% on Manifold. Prices currently differ by 31¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 7.0K contracts.
Best Yes
76%
Polymarket
Best No
55%
Manifold
Cross-Source Spread
31¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 76% ★ | 25% | -57d | 5.2K | 39.8K | 22.8K | High |
| Manifold | 45% | 55% ★ | — | M$ 1.8K | M$ 169.4K | 20.0K | Medium |
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| Manifold | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||
Polymarket — Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
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