Who will win the next presidential election?
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Who will win the next presidential election? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 72% on PredictIt, and the best No is 96% on Kalshi. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 174.4% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 1.4K contracts.
Best Yes
72%
PredictIt
Best No
96%
Kalshi
Cross-Source Spread
68¢
Source Count
2
Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Your Prediction
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4% | 96% ★ | — | 1.4K | 1.4M | 1.2M | High |
| PredictIt | 72% ★ | 28% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Who will win the next presidential election?
:: Democratic
Who will win the next French presidential election? — Édouard Philippe
Arbitrage Calculator
Free previewBuy YES on
Kalshi
4¢
Buy NO on
PredictIt
28¢
Total Cost
32¢
Gross Profit
68¢
Est. Fees
12.2¢
Net Profit
55.8¢
Return
174.4%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Kalshi — Who will win the next presidential election?
If Andy Beshear is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.