Who will win the next presidential election?
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Who will win the next presidential election? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 48% on PredictIt, and the best No is 97% on Kalshi. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 64% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 1.0K contracts.
Best Yes
48%
PredictIt
Best No
97%
Kalshi
Cross-Source Spread
45¢
Source Count
2
Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Your Prediction
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3% | 97% ★ | — | 1.0K | 1.4M | 1.3M | High |
| PredictIt | 48% ★ | 52% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Who will win the next presidential election?
:: Democratic
Who will win the next French presidential election? — Jordan Bardella
Arbitrage Calculator
Free previewBuy YES on
Kalshi
3¢
Buy NO on
PredictIt
52¢
Total Cost
55¢
Gross Profit
45¢
Est. Fees
9.8¢
Net Profit
35.2¢
Return
64%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Kalshi — Who will win the next presidential election?
If Andy Beshear is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
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