Guides, analysis, and insights on prediction markets and arbitrage strategies.
Every Polymarket trade is on-chain and public. Yet almost nobody watches the wallets actually moving size. Here's who the whales are, what they do, three real ones to follow, and how to read their book.
$1.3M on Arsenal at 44 cents, $7.3M of whale money saying the US-Iran peace deal won't land by May 31, and 75 wallets piling into the same trade. Here's what the biggest Polymarket traders did this week.
$696M of whale volume, 2,134 distinct top-tier wallets, and a $2.5M single trade at 99.8 cents. Here's what the smart money on Polymarket actually did in May 2026.
A $3.9M bet the Fed won't cut 50bps, 21 whales piling into an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire at 99 cents, and NBA playoff money flooding in. Here's what the biggest Polymarket traders did this week.
Congressional pressure, new CFTC rulemaking, and state-level legislation are putting prediction markets in the crosshairs. Here is what the threats look like, which platforms are most at risk, and what you should do with your money right now.
Are prediction markets accurate? We examine their track record, when they get it wrong, and how to evaluate market quality so you can read odds like a pro.
Practical strategies for making money on prediction markets like Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. Covers value betting, arbitrage, market making, and event-driven trading with honest risk assessment.
Everything you need to know about Polymarket in 2026: how to sign up, how trading works, fee structure, UMA resolution, pros, cons, and US legal status.
How do prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket compare to traditional bookmakers for accuracy? We look at the data, the incentives, and where each one has an edge.
Step-by-step guide to trading on PredictIt and Kalshi in 2026. Account setup, funding, placing trades, fees, and withdrawing profits - everything a beginner needs.
Are Kalshi and PredictIt merging? We break down the competition between the two biggest US prediction markets, acquisition speculation, and what it means for traders.
Is PredictIt legal in 2026? The latest on PredictIt's CFTC no-action letter, current legal status, court proceedings, and what it means for your money on the platform.
Complete list and ranking of prediction markets in 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, Metaculus, and Manifold compared by fees, features, pros and cons.
Compare Kalshi and Polymarket side by side - fees, markets, legality, UX, liquidity, and how to find arbitrage opportunities between them.
A detailed breakdown of fees on Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and other prediction markets - including the hidden costs most traders overlook.
Learn how prediction markets work, why they're more accurate than polls, and how to start trading on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.
How prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket compare to sports betting - odds, fees, edge, regulation, and why prediction markets offer better value.
Learn how to read prediction market prices, convert between odds formats, calculate expected value, and spot mispriced markets on Kalshi and Polymarket.
A practical guide to spotting and profiting from price discrepancies across Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and other prediction market exchanges.
The complete guide to prediction market legality in the US and globally - CFTC regulation, state laws, platform compliance, and what traders need to know.
A detailed comparison of PredictIt and Kalshi for political event trading - fees, limits, regulation, and which platform gives you a better edge.
Breaking down what prediction markets say about the 2026 US midterm elections - Senate control, House races, and where the smart money is going.
The top prediction market aggregators and tools for comparing odds, finding arbitrage, and tracking markets across Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt.
