Blog

Guides, analysis, and insights on prediction markets and arbitrage strategies.

News9 min read

The Push to Shut Down Prediction Markets: What Traders Need to Know in 2026

Congressional pressure, new CFTC rulemaking, and state-level legislation are putting prediction markets in the crosshairs. Here is what the threats look like, which platforms are most at risk, and what you should do with your money right now.

Dave Haertel
Analysis7 min read

Can You Trust Prediction Market Odds? How to Read Them Like a Pro

Are prediction markets accurate? We examine their track record, when they get it wrong, and how to evaluate market quality so you can read odds like a pro.

Dave Haertel
Strategy7 min read

How to Make Money on Prediction Markets: Strategies That Actually Work

Practical strategies for making money on prediction markets like Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. Covers value betting, arbitrage, market making, and event-driven trading with honest risk assessment.

Dave Haertel
Guides7 min read

Polymarket Guide 2026: How to Trade, Fees, and What You Need to Know

Everything you need to know about Polymarket in 2026: how to sign up, how trading works, fee structure, UMA resolution, pros, cons, and US legal status.

Dave Haertel
Analysis5 min read

Prediction Markets vs Bookmakers: Which Is More Accurate?

How do prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket compare to traditional bookmakers for accuracy? We look at the data, the incentives, and where each one has an edge.

Dave Haertel
Guides8 min read

How to Trade on PredictIt and Kalshi: Step-by-Step Guide (2026)

Step-by-step guide to trading on PredictIt and Kalshi in 2026. Account setup, funding, placing trades, fees, and withdrawing profits - everything a beginner needs.

Dave Haertel
News6 min read

Kalshi and PredictIt: Competition, Acquisition Rumors, and What's Next in 2026

Are Kalshi and PredictIt merging? We break down the competition between the two biggest US prediction markets, acquisition speculation, and what it means for traders.

Dave Haertel
News6 min read

PredictIt Legal Status 2026: CFTC No-Action Letter Update for Traders

Is PredictIt legal in 2026? The latest on PredictIt's CFTC no-action letter, current legal status, court proceedings, and what it means for your money on the platform.

Dave Haertel
Guides10 min read

List of Prediction Markets 2026: All 5 Major Platforms Ranked and Compared

Complete list and ranking of prediction markets in 2026: Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, Metaculus, and Manifold compared by fees, features, pros and cons.

Dave Haertel
Guides11 min read

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Is Right for You?

Compare Kalshi and Polymarket side by side - fees, markets, legality, UX, liquidity, and how to find arbitrage opportunities between them.

Dave Haertel
Analysis12 min read

Prediction Market Fees Compared: The True Cost of Trading on Every Platform

A detailed breakdown of fees on Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and other prediction markets - including the hidden costs most traders overlook.

Dave Haertel
Guides11 min read

What Are Prediction Markets? A Beginner's Guide for 2026

Learn how prediction markets work, why they're more accurate than polls, and how to start trading on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.

Dave Haertel
Guides10 min read

Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: Key Differences Every Trader Should Know

How prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket compare to sports betting - odds, fees, edge, regulation, and why prediction markets offer better value.

Dave Haertel
Guides10 min read

Understanding Prediction Market Odds: A Practical Guide to Reading Prices

Learn how to read prediction market prices, convert between odds formats, calculate expected value, and spot mispriced markets on Kalshi and Polymarket.

Dave Haertel
Strategy12 min read

How to Find Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: A Complete Guide

A practical guide to spotting and profiting from price discrepancies across Kalshi, Polymarket, PredictIt, and other prediction market exchanges.

Dave Haertel
Analysis12 min read

Are Prediction Markets Legal? A 2026 Regulatory Guide

The complete guide to prediction market legality in the US and globally - CFTC regulation, state laws, platform compliance, and what traders need to know.

Dave Haertel
Analysis12 min read

PredictIt vs Kalshi: Which Political Prediction Market Should You Use?

A detailed comparison of PredictIt and Kalshi for political event trading - fees, limits, regulation, and which platform gives you a better edge.

Dave Haertel
Analysis5 min read

2026 Midterm Election Prediction Markets: What the Odds Are Telling Us

Breaking down what prediction markets say about the 2026 US midterm elections - Senate control, House races, and where the smart money is going.

Dave Haertel
Guides4 min read

5 Best Prediction Market Aggregators and Tools in 2026

The top prediction market aggregators and tools for comparing odds, finding arbitrage, and tracking markets across Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt.

Dave Haertel