What are the current odds for "Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont"?

The best Yes price is 47% on Kalshi and the best No price is 87% on PredictIt. Prices are compared across 2 prediction markets: Kalshi and PredictIt.

Which prediction market has the best price for "Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont"?

Prices differ by 34¢ across exchanges. For a Yes position, Kalshi offers the highest probability at 47%. For a No position, PredictIt leads at 87%.

Is there an arbitrage opportunity on "Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont"?

Yes. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently available with an estimated 30.8% net return after fees. This involves buying Yes on one exchange and No on another to lock in a guaranteed profit regardless of the outcome.

What fees do prediction markets charge for this market?

Kalshi charges 7% profit fee. PredictIt charges 10% profit fee and 5% withdrawal fee. Fee structures vary significantly between exchanges and can affect the real cost of a position.

Markets/Elections/Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont

ElectionsKalshiPredictIt34¢ spreadARB +30.8%

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont

Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 47% on Kalshi, and the best No is 87% on PredictIt. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 30.8% net return.

Best Yes

47%

Kalshi

Best No

87%

PredictIt

Cross-Source Spread

34¢

Source Count

ConnectingWaiting for data...

Price History (Cross-Source)

Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.

Your Prediction

What do you think?50%YES

Very unlikelyCoin flipVery likely

Market price: 47%You are 3pts more bullish

Price Comparison

Source	Yes	No	Change	Volume 24h	Total Volume	Open Interest	Liquidity
Kalshi	47% ★	53%	—	—	5.3K	1.9K	Medium
PredictIt	13%	87% ★	—	—	—	—	Low

KalshiTradingBest Yes

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont

Democratic

47%

Democratic

53%

Yes Bid/Ask: 40¢ / 47¢

No Bid/Ask: 53¢ / 60¢

Vol: 5.3KOI: 1.9KCloses: Nov 7, 2029

Trade on Kalshi →

PredictItTradingBest No

Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Vermont? — Democratic

Yes

13%

87%

Yes Bid/Ask: 14¢ / 12¢

No Bid/Ask: 88¢ / 86¢

Trade on PredictIt →

Arbitrage Calculator

Free preview

Buy YES on

PredictIt

13¢

Buy NO on

Kalshi

53¢

Total Cost

66¢

Gross Profit

34¢

Est. Fees

13.7¢

Net Profit

20.3¢

Return

30.8%

Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.