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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Who will win the next presidential election? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and Manifold. The best Yes price right now is 22% on Kalshi, and the best No is 80% on Manifold. Prices currently differ by 2¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 5.0K contracts.
Best Yes
22%
Kalshi
Best No
80%
Manifold
Cross-Source Spread
2¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 22% ★ | 78% | -1 | 3.7K | 4.0M | 2.4M | High |
| Manifold | 20% | 80% ★ | — | M$ 1.3K | M$ 622.1K | 100.0K | Medium |
Who will win the next presidential election?
:: Republican
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| Manifold | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||
Kalshi — Who will win the next presidential election?
If J.D. Vance is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
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