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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and Manifold. The best Yes price right now is 49% on Polymarket, and the best No is 52% on Polymarket. Prices are currently aligned across all listed exchanges. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 5.3K contracts.
Best Yes
49%
Polymarket
Best No
52%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
—
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 49% ★ | 52% ★ | -17d | 5.3K | 580.2K | 62.4K | High |
| Manifold | 49% ★ | 51% | — | M$ 44 | M$ 206.8K | 10.1K | Low |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| Manifold | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||
Polymarket — Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
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