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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Who will win the next presidential election? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and Polymarket. The best Yes price right now is 13% on Polymarket, and the best No is 91% on Kalshi. Prices currently differ by 4¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 10.3K contracts.
Best Yes
13%
Polymarket
Best No
91%
Kalshi
Cross-Source Spread
4¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 9% | 91% ★ | — | 3.0K | 4.1M | 2.4M | High |
| Polymarket | 13% ★ | 87% | — | 7.3K | 13.6M | 361.2K | High |
Who will win the next presidential election?
:: Democratic
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
Kalshi — Who will win the next presidential election?
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket — Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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