Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 96% on PredictIt, and the best No is 96% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 847.8% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 8.3K contracts.
Best Yes
96%
PredictIt
Best No
96%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
91¢
Source Count
2
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Sign in to submit your prediction and track your accuracy over time.
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 5% | 96% ★ | — | 8.3K | 80.4K | 129.7K | High |
| PredictIt | 96% ★ | 4% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of New York? — Democratic
Buy YES on
Polymarket
5¢
Buy NO on
PredictIt
4¢
Total Cost
9¢
Gross Profit
91¢
Est. Fees
14.7¢
Net Profit
76.3¢
Return
847.8%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Vermont
Who will win the next presidential election?
Who will win the next presidential election?
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?