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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 50% on PredictIt, and the best No is 99% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 76.4% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 10.3K contracts.
Best Yes
50%
PredictIt
Best No
99%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
49¢
Source Count
2
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1% | 99% ★ | — | 10.3K | 8.6M | 761.6K | High |
| PredictIt | 50% ★ | 50% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Will a woman win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Will a woman win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Buy YES on
Polymarket
1¢
Buy NO on
PredictIt
50¢
Total Cost
51¢
Gross Profit
49¢
Est. Fees
10.02¢
Net Profit
38.98¢
Return
76.4%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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