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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 25% on PredictIt, and the best No is 99% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 21.7% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 8.2K contracts.
Best Yes
25%
PredictIt
Best No
99%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
24¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1% | 99% ★ | -17d | 8.2K | 2.1M | 221.9K | High |
| PredictIt | 25% ★ | 75% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Who will win the next French presidential election? — Édouard Philippe
Buy YES on
Polymarket
1¢
Buy NO on
PredictIt
75¢
Total Cost
76¢
Gross Profit
24¢
Est. Fees
7.52¢
Net Profit
16.48¢
Return
21.7%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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