//
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 50% on PredictIt, and the best No is 98% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 73% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 4.4K contracts.
Best Yes
50%
PredictIt
Best No
98%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
48¢
Source Count
2
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Sign in to submit your prediction and track your accuracy over time.
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | 98% ★ | -57d | 4.4K | 16.4K | 49.8K | High |
| PredictIt | 50% ★ | 50% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Who will be the next Senate Majority Leader? — Chuck Schumer
Buy YES on
Polymarket
2¢
Buy NO on
PredictIt
50¢
Total Cost
52¢
Gross Profit
48¢
Est. Fees
10.04¢
Net Profit
37.96¢
Return
73%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader?
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Who will win the next presidential election?
Who will win the next presidential election?
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?