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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 26% on PredictIt, and the best No is 99% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 23.2% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 18.2K contracts.
Best Yes
26%
PredictIt
Best No
99%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
25¢
Source Count
2
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1% | 99% ★ | — | 18.2K | 52.8M | 869.5K | High |
| PredictIt | 26% ★ | 74% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will a woman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Will a woman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Buy YES on
Polymarket
1¢
Buy NO on
PredictIt
74¢
Total Cost
75¢
Gross Profit
25¢
Est. Fees
7.62¢
Net Profit
17.38¢
Return
23.2%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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