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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms? — Republicans 0-3% is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: PredictIt and Manifold. The best Yes price right now is 11% on Manifold, and the best No is 98% on PredictIt. Prices currently differ by 9¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 871 contracts.
Best Yes
11%
Manifold
Best No
98%
PredictIt
Cross-Source Spread
9¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PredictIt | 2% | 98% ★ | — | — | — | — | Low |
| Manifold | 11% ★ | 89% | — | M$ 871 | M$ 506.8K | 20.0K | High |
What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms? — Republicans 0-3%
Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
| Manifold | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||
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