Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 77% on Polymarket, and the best No is 27% on PredictIt. Prices currently differ by 4¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 132.2K contracts.
Best Yes
77%
Polymarket
Best No
27%
PredictIt
Cross-Source Spread
4¢
Source Count
2
Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 77% ★ | 24% | +57d | 132.2K | 482.9K | 52.5K | High |
| PredictIt | 73% | 27% ★ | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Who will win the Republican nomination in the KY-04 House primary? — Thomas Massie
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Polymarket — Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.