ElectionsPredictItManifold (M$)3¢ spread
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — JD Vance
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — JD Vance is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: PredictIt and Manifold. The best Yes price right now is 23% on PredictIt, and the best No is 80% on Manifold. Prices currently differ by 3¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources.
Best Yes
23%
PredictIt
Best No
80%
Manifold
Cross-Source Spread
3¢
Source Count
2
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Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Your Prediction
What do you think?50%YES
Very unlikelyCoin flipVery likely
Market price: 23%You are 27pts more bullish
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PredictIt | 23% ★ | 77% | -1 | — | — | — | Low |
| Manifold | 20% | 80% ★ | — | — | M$ 546.9K | 100.0K | Low |
PredictItTradingBest Yes
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — JD Vance
Yes
23%
No
77%
Yes Bid/Ask: 24¢ / 23¢
No Bid/Ask: 77¢ / 76¢
ManifoldForecastBest No
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
20%
No
80%
Vol: 546.9KOI: 100.0KForecasters: 340Closes: Nov 8, 2028
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
| Manifold | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||