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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 67% on Polymarket, and the best No is 99% on PredictIt. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 141.2% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 7.2K contracts.
Best Yes
67%
Polymarket
Best No
99%
PredictIt
Cross-Source Spread
66¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 67% ★ | 34% | +37d | 7.2K | 251.5K | 61.5K | High |
| PredictIt | 1% | 99% ★ | — | — | — | — | Minimal |
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Who will win the 2026 election for governor of Alaska? — Mary Peltola
Buy YES on
PredictIt
1¢
Buy NO on
Polymarket
34¢
Total Cost
35¢
Gross Profit
65¢
Est. Fees
15.58¢
Net Profit
49.42¢
Return
141.2%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
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