Markets/Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
ElectionsPolymarketPredictIt3¢ spread

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s

Best Yes

39%

PredictIt

Best No

64%

Polymarket

Cross-Source Spread

Source Count

2

ConnectingWaiting for data...

Price History (Cross-Source)

Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.

Your Prediction

What do you think?50%YES
Very unlikelyCoin flipVery likely
Market price: 39%You are 11pts more bullish

Sign in to submit your prediction and track your accuracy over time.

Price Comparison

SourceYesNoChangeVolume 24hTotal VolumeOpen InterestLiquidity
Polymarket36%64%-37d538.9K7.4M322.6KHigh
PredictIt39%61%-1Low
PolymarketTradingBest No

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes
36%
No
64%
Yes Bid/Ask: 36¢ / 36¢
24h: 538.9KVol: 7.4MOI: 322.6KCloses: Nov 6, 2028
PredictItTradingBest Yes

Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — JD Vance

Yes
39%
No
61%
Yes Bid/Ask: 40¢ / 39¢
No Bid/Ask: 61¢ / 60¢

Fee Reference

ExchangeTrading FeeProfit FeeWithdrawal FeeNotes
Polymarket2%NoneNoneTrading exchange
PredictItNone10%5%Trading exchange

Resolution Rules

PolymarketWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related in Elections