ElectionsManifold (M$)PredictIt3¢ spread
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
26%
PredictIt
Best No
77%
Manifold
Cross-Source Spread
3¢
Source Count
2
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Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | 23% | 77% ★ | — | M$ 809 | M$ 456.8K | 100.0K | High |
| PredictIt | 26% ★ | 74% | — | — | — | — | Low |
ManifoldForecastBest No
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes
23%
No
77%
24h: 809Vol: 456.8KOI: 100.0KForecasters: 291Closes: Nov 8, 2028
PredictItTradingBest Yes
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? — JD Vance
Yes
26%
No
74%
Yes Bid/Ask: 27¢ / 26¢
No Bid/Ask: 74¢ / 73¢
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |