Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
28%
PredictIt
Best No
76%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
4¢
Source Count
2
Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and track your accuracy over time.
Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 24% | 76% ★ | -17d | 319.9K | 14.4M | 761.6K | High |
| PredictIt | 28% ★ | 72% | +1 | — | — | — | Low |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Gavin Newsom
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Polymarket — Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Related in Elections
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Who will win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — Keiko Fujimori
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Benjamin Netanyahu