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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 33% on PredictIt, and the best No is 100% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 34.8% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 90.2K contracts.
Best Yes
33%
PredictIt
Best No
100%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
32¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1% | 100% ★ | — | 90.2K | 44.3M | 1.2M | High |
| PredictIt | 33% ★ | 67% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will a woman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Will a woman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Buy YES on
Polymarket
1¢
Buy NO on
PredictIt
67¢
Total Cost
68¢
Gross Profit
32¢
Est. Fees
8.32¢
Net Profit
23.68¢
Return
34.8%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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