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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 44% on PredictIt, and the best No is 59% on Polymarket. Prices currently differ by 3¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 72.2K contracts.
Best Yes
44%
PredictIt
Best No
59%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
3¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 41% | 59% ★ | — | 72.2K | 9.8M | 208.4K | High |
| PredictIt | 44% ★ | 56% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — Flávio Bolsonaro
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
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