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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 57% on PredictIt, and the best No is 97% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 94% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 88.2K contracts.
Best Yes
57%
PredictIt
Best No
97%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
54¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3% | 97% ★ | +27d | 88.2K | 9.3M | 551.5K | High |
| PredictIt | 57% ★ | 43% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Democratic
Buy YES on
Polymarket
3¢
Buy NO on
PredictIt
43¢
Total Cost
46¢
Gross Profit
54¢
Est. Fees
10.76¢
Net Profit
43.24¢
Return
94%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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