Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 25% on PredictIt, and the best No is 76% on Polymarket. Prices currently differ by 1¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 211.1K contracts.
Best Yes
25%
PredictIt
Best No
76%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
1¢
Source Count
2
Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Your Prediction
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 24% | 76% ★ | — | 211.1K | 25.3M | 196.8K | High |
| PredictIt | 25% ★ | 75% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Gavin Newsom
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Polymarket — Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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