Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
What will be the margin of victory in the 2026 Michigan Senate race? — Abdul El-Sayed, 6-8% is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: PredictIt and Manifold. The best Yes price right now is 70% on Manifold, and the best No is 61% on PredictIt. Prices currently differ by 31¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 1.1K contracts.
Best Yes
70%
Manifold
Best No
61%
PredictIt
Cross-Source Spread
31¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PredictIt | 39% | 61% ★ | — | — | — | — | Low |
| Manifold | 70% ★ | 30% | — | M$ 1.1K | M$ 7.3K | 100 | High |
What will be the margin of victory in the 2026 Michigan Senate race? — Abdul El-Sayed, 6-8%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
| Manifold | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||
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