What are the current odds for "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House"?

The best Yes price is 39% on PredictIt and the best No price is 87% on Polymarket. Prices are compared across 2 prediction markets: Polymarket and PredictIt.

Which prediction market has the best price for "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House"?

Prices differ by 25¢ across exchanges. For a Yes position, PredictIt offers the highest probability at 39%. For a No position, Polymarket leads at 87%.

Is there an arbitrage opportunity on "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House"?

Yes. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently available with an estimated 21.1% net return after fees. This involves buying Yes on one exchange and No on another to lock in a guaranteed profit regardless of the outcome.

What fees do prediction markets charge for this market?

Polymarket charges 2% trading fee. PredictIt charges 10% profit fee and 5% withdrawal fee. Fee structures vary significantly between exchanges and can affect the real cost of a position.

How much trading volume does "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House" have?

Combined 24-hour trading volume across all listed exchanges is 52.5K contracts, with 2.1M contracts traded all-time. Higher volume generally indicates better liquidity and tighter bid-ask spreads.

Markets/Elections/2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

ElectionsPolymarketPredictIt25¢ spreadARB +21.1%

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 39% on PredictIt, and the best No is 87% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 21.1% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 52.5K contracts.

Best Yes

39%

PredictIt

Best No

87%

Polymarket

Cross-Source Spread

25¢

Source Count

ConnectingWaiting for data...

Price History (Cross-Source)

Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.

Your Prediction

What do you think?50%YES

Very unlikelyCoin flipVery likely

Market price: 39%You are 11pts more bullish

Price Comparison

Source	Yes	No	Change	Volume 24h	Total Volume	Open Interest	Liquidity
Polymarket	14%	87% ★	—	52.5K	2.1M	259.4K	High
PredictIt	39% ★	61%	—	—	—	—	Low

PolymarketTradingBest No

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes

14%

87%

Yes Bid/Ask: 13¢ / 14¢

24h: 52.5KVol: 2.1MOI: 259.4KCloses: Nov 2, 2026

Trade on Polymarket →

PredictItTradingBest Yes

What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? — D House, R Senate

Yes

39%

61%

Yes Bid/Ask: 40¢ / 39¢

No Bid/Ask: 61¢ / 60¢

Trade on PredictIt →

Arbitrage Calculator

Free preview

Buy YES on

Polymarket

14¢

Buy NO on

PredictIt

61¢

Total Cost

75¢

Gross Profit

25¢

Est. Fees

9.18¢

Net Profit

15.82¢

Return

21.1%

Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.

Fee Reference

Exchange	Trading Fee	Profit Fee	Withdrawal Fee	Notes
Polymarket	2%	None	None	Trading exchange
PredictIt	None	10%	5%	Trading exchange

Resolution Rules

Polymarket — 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. If control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.