//
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 44% on Polymarket, and the best No is 60% on PredictIt. Prices currently differ by 4¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 168.6K contracts.
Best Yes
44%
Polymarket
Best No
60%
PredictIt
Cross-Source Spread
4¢
Source Count
2
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Sign in to submit your prediction and track your accuracy over time.
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 44% ★ | 56% | +17d | 168.6K | 15.1M | 319.2K | High |
| PredictIt | 40% | 60% ★ | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — JD Vance
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?