EconomicsKalshi
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q1 2026?
Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
49%
Kalshi
Best No
51%
Kalshi
Cross-Source Spread
—
Source Count
1
ConnectingWaiting for data...
Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 49% | 51% | -10 | 761 | 11.5K | 7.3K | High |
KalshiTrading
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q1 2026?
2.5%
Above 2.5%
49%
Above 2.5%
51%
Yes Bid/Ask: 45¢ / 49¢
No Bid/Ask: 51¢ / 55¢
24h: 761Vol: 11.5KOI: 7.3KCloses: Apr 30, 2026
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Kalshi — Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q1 2026?
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q1 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.