Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2026?
Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
51%
Kalshi
Best No
49%
Kalshi
Cross-Source Spread
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Source Count
1
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 51% | 49% | +51 | 13 | 13 | 13 | High |
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2026?
2.0%
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Kalshi — Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q2 2026?
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q2 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.