EconomicsKalshiMetaculus
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
87%
Kalshi
Best No
13%
Kalshi
Cross-Source Spread
—
Source Count
2
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Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Your Prediction
What do you think?50%YES
Very unlikelyCoin flipVery likely
Market price: 87%You are 37pts less bullish
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 87% ★ | 13% ★ | -1 | 599 | 101.7K | 42.1K | High |
| Metaculus | 0% | 0% | — | — | — | 375 | Low |
KalshiTradingBest YesBest No
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
Elon Musk
87%
Elon Musk
13%
Yes Bid/Ask: 87¢ / 88¢
No Bid/Ask: 12¢ / 13¢
24h: 599Vol: 101.7KOI: 42.1KCloses: Jan 1, 2030
MetaculusForecast
Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?
Yes
0%
No
0%
OI: 375Forecasters: 375Forecasts: 1,269
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| Metaculus | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||
Resolution Rules
Kalshi — Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
If Elon Musk is the world's first trillionare before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.