EconomicsKalshi
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q1 2026?
Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
62%
Kalshi
Best No
38%
Kalshi
Cross-Source Spread
—
Source Count
1
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 62% | 38% | -5 | 2.8K | 10.5K | 7.8K | High |
KalshiTrading
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q1 2026?
2.0%
Above 2.0%
62%
Above 2.0%
38%
Yes Bid/Ask: 61¢ / 62¢
No Bid/Ask: 38¢ / 39¢
24h: 2.8KVol: 10.5KOI: 7.8KCloses: Apr 30, 2026
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Kalshi — Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q1 2026?
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q1 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.