Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 46% on PredictIt, and the best No is 82% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 25.1% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 288.8K contracts.
Best Yes
46%
PredictIt
Best No
82%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
28¢
Source Count
2
Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Your Prediction
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 18% | 82% ★ | +137d | 288.8K | 651.5K | 54.3K | High |
| PredictIt | 46% ★ | 54% | +43 | — | — | — | Low |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
What will be the runoff matchup in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? — Bass and Raman
Arbitrage Calculator
Free previewBuy YES on
Polymarket
18¢
Buy NO on
PredictIt
54¢
Total Cost
72¢
Gross Profit
28¢
Est. Fees
9.96¢
Net Profit
18.04¢
Return
25.1%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Polymarket — Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
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