Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 80% on PredictIt, and the best No is 86% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 155.1% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 149.6K contracts.
Best Yes
80%
PredictIt
Best No
86%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
66¢
Source Count
2
Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Your Prediction
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 14% | 86% ★ | -107d | 149.6K | 2.1M | 51.2K | High |
| PredictIt | 80% ★ | 20% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Naftali Bennett
Arbitrage Calculator
Free previewBuy YES on
Polymarket
14¢
Buy NO on
PredictIt
20¢
Total Cost
34¢
Gross Profit
66¢
Est. Fees
13.28¢
Net Profit
52.72¢
Return
155.1%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Polymarket — Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.