Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Comparing 3 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
57%
PredictIt
Best No
99%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
56¢
Source Count
3
Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1% | 99% ★ | — | 363.1K | 22.0M | 1.2M | High |
| Kalshi | 1% | 99% ★ | — | 24.0K | 1.1M | 825.9K | High |
| PredictIt | 57% ★ | 43% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Who will win the next presidential election?
:: Democratic
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election? — Democratic
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| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Kalshi — Who will win the next presidential election?
If Wes Moore is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Polymarket — Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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