PoliticsManifold (M$)
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
23%
Manifold
Best No
77%
Manifold
Cross-Source Spread
—
Source Count
1
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Your Prediction
What do you think?50%YES
Very unlikelyCoin flipVery likely
Market price: 23%You are 27pts more bullish
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | 23% | 77% | — | — | M$ 518.9K | 1.3K | Low |
ManifoldForecast
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Yes
23%
No
77%
Vol: 518.9KOI: 1.3KForecasters: 905Closes: Jan 19, 2029