Trump Win 2028 Presidential Election
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
99%
PredictIt
Best No
99%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
98¢
Source Count
2
Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1% | 99% ★ | — | 752.3K | 30.3M | 935.7K | High |
| PredictIt | 99% ★ | 1% | — | — | — | — | Low |
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
When will Trump sign a bill to end or avert the shutdown? — Feb. 23 to Feb. 25
Arbitrage Calculator
Buy YES on
Polymarket
1¢
Buy NO on
PredictIt
1¢
Total Cost
2¢
Gross Profit
98¢
Est. Fees
14.92¢
Net Profit
83.08¢
Return
4154%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Polymarket — Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.