Markets/Elections/Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
ElectionsPolymarketPredictIt2¢ spread

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 99% on Polymarket, and the best No is 3% on PredictIt. Prices currently differ by 2¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 1.0M contracts.

Best Yes

99%

Polymarket

Best No

3%

PredictIt

Cross-Source Spread

Source Count

2

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Price History (Cross-Source)

Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.

Your Prediction

What do you think?50%YES
Very unlikelyCoin flipVery likely
Market price: 99%You are 49pts less bullish

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Price Comparison

SourceYesNoChangeVolume 24hTotal VolumeOpen InterestLiquidity
Polymarket99%1%+747d1.0M2.8M82.7KHigh
PredictIt97%3%Low
PolymarketTradingBest Yes

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes
99%
No
1%
Yes Bid/Ask: 99¢ / 100¢
24h: 1.0MVol: 2.8MOI: 82.7KCloses: May 30, 2026
PredictItTradingBest No

Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? — A. de la Espriella

Yes
97%
No
3%
Yes Bid/Ask: 85¢ / 66¢
No Bid/Ask: 34¢ / 15¢

Fee Reference

ExchangeTrading FeeProfit FeeWithdrawal FeeNotes
Polymarket2%NoneNoneTrading exchange
PredictItNone10%5%Trading exchange

Resolution Rules

PolymarketWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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