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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Texas? — Republican (Paxton) is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: PredictIt and Manifold. The best Yes price right now is 54% on PredictIt, and the best No is 50% on Manifold. Prices currently differ by 4¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 3.9K contracts.
Best Yes
54%
PredictIt
Best No
50%
Manifold
Cross-Source Spread
4¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PredictIt | 54% ★ | 46% | — | — | — | — | Low |
| Manifold | 50% | 50% ★ | — | M$ 3.9K | M$ 204.4K | 10.1K | High |
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Texas? — Republican (Paxton)
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
| Manifold | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||
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