PoliticsManifold (M$)
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
23%
Manifold
Best No
77%
Manifold
Cross-Source Spread
—
Source Count
1
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Your Prediction
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Very unlikelyCoin flipVery likely
Market price: 23%You are 27pts more bullish
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | 23% | 77% | — | M$ 337 | M$ 263.6K | 7.0K | High |
ManifoldForecast
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Yes
23%
No
77%
24h: 337Vol: 263.6KOI: 7.0KForecasters: 560Closes: Nov 3, 2026