PoliticsManifold (M$)
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
22%
Manifold
Best No
78%
Manifold
Cross-Source Spread
—
Source Count
1
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Your Prediction
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Very unlikelyCoin flipVery likely
Market price: 22%You are 28pts more bullish
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | 22% | 78% | — | M$ 155 | M$ 263.2K | 7.0K | High |
ManifoldForecast
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Yes
22%
No
78%
24h: 155Vol: 263.2KOI: 7.0KForecasters: 559Closes: Nov 3, 2026