Markets/If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
PoliticsManifold (M$)

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s

Best Yes

22%

Manifold

Best No

78%

Manifold

Cross-Source Spread

Source Count

1

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Price Comparison

SourceYesNoChangeVolume 24hTotal VolumeOpen InterestLiquidity
Manifold22%78%M$ 155M$ 263.2K7.0KHigh
ManifoldForecast

If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?

Yes
22%
No
78%
24h: 155Vol: 263.2KOI: 7.0KForecasters: 559Closes: Nov 3, 2026

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