Markets/Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
WorldPolymarket

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s

Best Yes

26%

Polymarket

Best No

75%

Polymarket

Cross-Source Spread

Source Count

1

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Price Comparison

SourceYesNoChangeVolume 24hTotal VolumeOpen InterestLiquidity
Polymarket26%75%+17d208.7K966.1K177.0KHigh
PolymarketTrading

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Yes
26%
No
75%
Yes Bid/Ask: 25¢ / 26¢
24h: 208.7KVol: 966.1KOI: 177.0KCloses: Dec 30, 2026

Fee Reference

ExchangeTrading FeeProfit FeeWithdrawal FeeNotes
Polymarket2%NoneNoneTrading exchange

Resolution Rules

PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.