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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and Manifold. The best Yes price right now is 67% on Manifold, and the best No is 63% on Polymarket. Prices currently differ by 29¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 10.6K contracts.
Best Yes
67%
Manifold
Best No
63%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
29¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 38% | 63% ★ | -37d | 10.6K | 1.1M | 282.4K | High |
| Manifold | 67% ★ | 33% | — | — | M$ 7.3K | 10.0K | Low |
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| Manifold | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||
Polymarket — Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
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