Markets/Will the **high temp in NYC** be <46° on Mar 24, 2026?
Climate and WeatherKalshi

Will the **high temp in NYC** be <46° on Mar 24, 2026?

Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s

Best Yes

19%

Kalshi

Best No

81%

Kalshi

Cross-Source Spread

Source Count

1

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Your Prediction

What do you think?50%YES
Very unlikelyCoin flipVery likely
Market price: 19%You are 31pts more bullish

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Price Comparison

SourceYesNoChangeVolume 24hTotal VolumeOpen InterestLiquidity
Kalshi19%81%+192.5K2.5K2.0KHigh
KalshiTrading

Will the **high temp in NYC** be <46° on Mar 24, 2026?

45° or below

45° or below
19%
45° or below
81%
Yes Bid/Ask: 16¢ / 20¢
No Bid/Ask: 80¢ / 84¢
24h: 2.5KVol: 2.5KOI: 2.0KCloses: Mar 25, 2026

Fee Reference

ExchangeTrading FeeProfit FeeWithdrawal FeeNotes
KalshiNone7%NoneTrading exchange

Resolution Rules

KalshiWill the **high temp in NYC** be <46° on Mar 24, 2026?

If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for March 24, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is less than 46°, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report (Daily) linked in the rules above. Preliminary NWS reporting and measurement methods may be subject to underlying rounding and conversion nuances. Traders should exercise caution when interpreting preliminary NWS data.