Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 87% on Polymarket, and the best No is 19% on PredictIt. Prices currently differ by 6¢ across exchanges, the largest spread between any two listed sources. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 64.6K contracts.
Best Yes
87%
Polymarket
Best No
19%
PredictIt
Cross-Source Spread
6¢
Source Count
2
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
Sign in to submit your prediction and track your accuracy over time.
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 87% ★ | 14% | +17d | 64.6K | 5.0M | 506.6K | High |
| PredictIt | 81% | 19% ★ | +1 | — | — | — | Low |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? — Democratic
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Maine? — Democratic
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election? — Benjamin Netanyahu