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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and Metaculus. The best Yes price right now is 20% on Kalshi, and the best No is 80% on Kalshi. Prices are currently aligned across all listed exchanges. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 69 contracts.
Best Yes
20%
Kalshi
Best No
80%
Kalshi
Cross-Source Spread
—
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 20% ★ | 80% ★ | — | 69 | 97.3K | 28.8K | High |
| Metaculus | 0% | 0% | — | — | — | 2.8K | Low |
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| Metaculus | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||
Kalshi — Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
If SpaceX lands anything successfully on Mars before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.