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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Joe Alwyn be the next James Bond? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and Polymarket. The best Yes price right now is 7% on Kalshi, and the best No is 100% on Polymarket. Prices are currently aligned across all listed exchanges. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 22.1K contracts.
Best Yes
7%
Kalshi
Best No
100%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
—
Source Count
2
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 7% ★ | 93% | -7 | 2.5K | 5.4K | 3.7K | High |
| Polymarket | 0% | 100% ★ | — | 19.7K | 20.0K | 8.5K | High |
Will Joe Alwyn be the next James Bond?
Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
Kalshi — Will Joe Alwyn be the next James Bond?
If Joe Alwyn is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
Polymarket — Joe Alwyn announced as next James Bond?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. Only a person officially announced to play James Bond in a theatrical/feature film production will count toward resolution. Casting for other formats, including video games, voice or motion-capture roles in games, television, advertisements, or spin-off media, will not not qualify. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.