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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and Polymarket. The best Yes price right now is 43% on Kalshi, and the best No is 75% on Polymarket. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 17.7% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 21.7K contracts.
Best Yes
43%
Kalshi
Best No
75%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
18¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 43% ★ | 57% | +16 | 13.2K | 81.7K | 56.3K | High |
| Polymarket | 25% | 75% ★ | +27d | 8.5K | 119.5K | 7.7K | High |
Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Buy YES on
Polymarket
25¢
Buy NO on
Kalshi
57¢
Total Cost
82¢
Gross Profit
18¢
Est. Fees
3.51¢
Net Profit
14.49¢
Return
17.7%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
Kalshi — Will Jack Lowden be the next James Bond?
If Jack Lowden is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.
Polymarket — Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.