Markets/World/Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
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Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and Metaculus. The best Yes price right now is 0% on Polymarket, and the best No is 100% on Polymarket. Prices are currently aligned across all listed exchanges. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 486.5K contracts.

Best Yes

0%

Polymarket

Best No

100%

Polymarket

Cross-Source Spread

Source Count

2

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Price History (Cross-Source)

Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.

Your Prediction

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Price Comparison

SourceYesNoChangeVolume 24hTotal VolumeOpen InterestLiquidity
Polymarket0%100%486.5K25.9M7.8MHigh
Metaculus0%0%27Low
PolymarketTradingBest YesBest No

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes
0%
No
100%
Yes Bid/Ask: 0¢ / 0¢
24h: 486.5KVol: 25.9MOI: 7.8MCloses: Jul 19, 2026
MetaculusForecastBest Yes

Will Iran participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes
0%
No
0%
OI: 27Forecasters: 27Forecasts: 723

Fee Reference

ExchangeTrading FeeProfit FeeWithdrawal FeeNotes
Polymarket2%NoneNoneTrading exchange
MetaculusN/AForecasting platform (no real-money trading)

Resolution Rules

PolymarketWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.