Science and TechnologyPolymarket
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
67%
Polymarket
Best No
34%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
—
Source Count
1
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 67% | 34% | +27d | 3.7M | 7.5M | 128.4K | High |
PolymarketTrading
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Yes
67%
No
34%
Yes Bid/Ask: 66¢ / 67¢
24h: 3.7MVol: 7.5MOI: 128.4KCloses: Dec 30, 2026
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Polymarket — Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.