Science and TechnologyPolymarket
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Comparing 1 sources · Updated every 60s
Best Yes
69%
Polymarket
Best No
31%
Polymarket
Cross-Source Spread
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Source Count
1
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 69% | 31% | +37d | 242.3K | 870.7K | 24.7K | High |
PolymarketTrading
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Yes
69%
No
31%
Yes Bid/Ask: 69¢ / 70¢
24h: 242.3KVol: 870.7KOI: 24.7KCloses: Dec 30, 2026
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
Resolution Rules
Polymarket — Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.