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Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Polymarket and PredictIt. The best Yes price right now is 96% on Polymarket, and the best No is 57% on PredictIt. A cross-exchange arbitrage opportunity is currently live with an estimated 89.8% net return. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 109.3K contracts.
Best Yes
96%
Polymarket
Best No
57%
PredictIt
Cross-Source Spread
53¢
Source Count
2
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| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 96% ★ | 4% | +37d | 109.3K | 328.5K | 45.7K | High |
| PredictIt | 43% | 57% ★ | -3 | — | — | — | Low |
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Wisconsin? — Democratic
Buy YES on
PredictIt
43¢
Buy NO on
Polymarket
4¢
Total Cost
47¢
Gross Profit
53¢
Est. Fees
10.78¢
Net Profit
42.22¢
Return
89.8%
Disclaimer: Arbitrage calculations are estimates based on publicly listed fees. Actual fees, slippage, withdrawal timing, and market movement may affect realized returns. This is not financial advice. Always verify current fee schedules on each exchange before trading.
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 2% | None | None | Trading exchange |
| PredictIt | None | 10% | 5% | Trading exchange |
Polymarket — Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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