Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
Comparing 2 sources · Updated every 60s
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire? is currently being traded on 2 exchanges: Kalshi and Metaculus. The best Yes price right now is 90% on Kalshi, and the best No is 10% on Kalshi. Prices are currently aligned across all listed exchanges. Combined 24-hour volume across these markets is 340 contracts.
Best Yes
90%
Kalshi
Best No
10%
Kalshi
Cross-Source Spread
—
Source Count
2
Price History (Cross-Source)
Historical comparison data will appear after the snapshot ingestion job runs a few times.
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Price Comparison
| Source | Yes | No | Change | Volume 24h | Total Volume | Open Interest | Liquidity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 90% ★ | 10% ★ | +1 | 340 | 113.9K | 46.1K | High |
| Metaculus | 0% | 0% | — | — | — | 383 | Low |
Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?
Fee Reference
| Exchange | Trading Fee | Profit Fee | Withdrawal Fee | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | None | 7% | None | Trading exchange |
| Metaculus | N/A | Forecasting platform (no real-money trading) | ||
Resolution Rules
Kalshi — Will Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
If Elon Musk is the world's first trillionare before Jan 1, 2030 then the market resolves to Yes.